Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.396207 0.466345 0.543420 0.634152 0.737772 0.852150 0.987675
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.285849 0.377879 0.489186 0.632597 0.811233 1.025083 1.298980
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.220208 0.321973 0.455559 0.641133 0.889196 1.205942 1.636971
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.173333 0.277407 0.424287 0.642067 0.951138 1.367547 1.963006
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.133487 0.232770 0.382722 0.618774 0.972375 1.472026 2.218225
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.114221 0.214474 0.374908 0.640459 1.056377 1.667319 2.612134
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.097969 0.197308 0.365124 0.656052 1.130576 1.852327 3.003727
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.089088 0.190869 0.371139 0.696384 1.245521 2.105658 3.513907
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.075170 0.172174 0.352893 0.692973 1.288225 2.249325 3.865295
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.062926 0.154058 0.332522 0.682423 1.316485 2.370314 4.187351
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.053302 0.139208 0.315696 0.675447 1.348919 2.498760 4.527903
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.047191 0.130700 0.309814 0.687761 1.415850 2.688458 4.979896
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.041193 0.121369 0.301241 0.694574 1.474806 2.871409 5.437633
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.035695 0.112010 0.291156 0.697086 1.525913 3.044503 5.890516
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.031567 0.105183 0.285531 0.707966 1.593826 3.251996 6.416044
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.027448 0.097331 0.276214 0.709580 1.643129 3.428340 6.896338
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.022529 0.085808 0.256052 0.684384 1.635085 3.496502 7.184245
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.020676 0.083092 0.257346 0.708132 1.730716 3.767388 7.859828
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018728 0.079553 0.255909 0.725178 1.813287 4.017831 8.510446
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018018 0.080011 0.265237 0.769176 1.957901 4.398576 9.427059
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.015662 0.074003 0.255727 0.765462 1.996365 4.569743 9.950591
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.013391 0.067560 0.243788 0.753959 2.015882 4.703196 10.407212
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.011553 0.062161 0.233896 0.746352 2.043285 4.853785 10.904227